Wednesday, November 08, 2006

The Legacy of 2006

Oh what have we done? America I know the Republicans had gone soft, and been captured by Washington D.C. The Republicans deserved to lose the House. I get it. But the Senate too?

You may have thought you were electing Conservative Democrats, and for the most part you were. But the problem is, the Democratic leadership couldn't be more liberal, some down right moonbatty.

These next two years are probably going to be ugly, and not just for the U.S.

I) Iraq

A) The Democrats have to pull us out of Iraq, their base will demand it. They will spout the usual nonsense, the same tired promises we gave Vietnam in the 70's. But the Islamic fanatic will know the truth. Let's be honest, once the troops are gone, they're not going back in, and no one in the region is going to allow us to station our troops in their country.

B) Shortly after we pull the troops out, Iraq will descend into a three way civil war.

1) The Democrats will immediately say "see, we told you so", being either unwilling, or too blind to see that our pullout is what caused the civil war.

2) Tens of thousands of Iraqis and Kurds will be killed in the fighting and reprisals.

3) Iran, Syria and Turkey will probably dismantle Iraq, (in the name of stopping the civil war) and divide the pieces between them, and no one will do anything about it.

a) Turkey has been struggling to preserve its young western democracy. This will fall. The only question is whether or not the military is still strong enough to install a military dictatorship, or if the Islamic fundamentalists will take over.

C) This will be the final straw. After Vietnam, Somalia and Iraq, no one will trust American assurances and promises anymore. (Would you?)

1) South Korea and Japan will go nuclear. Taiwan will try to do so also. North Korea with the bomb and American fecklessness are just too dangerous for them.

D) Afghanistan will descend back into tribalism and lawlessness, and either the Taliban or a military dictatorship fronting for the Taliban will take over.

E) Pakistan will either become a military dictatorship or be taken over by the fundamentalists.
Either way, the tensions between Pakistan and India will rise, and conflict could erupt. Which could be extremely dangerous, since both have nuclear weapons.

F) Worldwide terrorism will arise, and we will be attacked at home and abroad.

G) The morale of our armed forces will plummet. Soldiers who have been proud of what we have been doing will start to question their sacrifices. Recruitment will drop. We can only hope things don't go as bad as they did in the 70's after the betrayal of our military and the South Vietnamese.

II) Immigration

A) There will be an amnesty bill, and a guestworker program. Pres. Bush and the Democrats agree on this issue.

1) We will begin a process that will see at least 15 million illegal immigrants given legal residency, and a minimal path to citizenship.

2) There will be about 10 million more Mexicans living in Mexico that will be given residency and/or citizenship through legacies (parents, spouses, children).

3) By 2008 there will be at least 5 million more illegal residents waiting for the next amnesty.

4) By 2008, Mexico will be receiving $30 billion or more a year in remittances from the US. Most of this money will come from the underground economy, and so will be untaxed, and directly siphoned off from the American economy.

B) The fence just authorized by Congress will never be built.

C) There will be waves of immigrants from Haiti and Cuba also.

1) there will probably be a repeat of the Mariel boatlift in Cuba, as Cuba empties its prisons, and when the current Cuban regime topples, all bets are off.

III) Washington D.C.

A) The lawyers are going to get fat. There will be countless hearings and investigations.

1) There is at least a 30% chance the Democrats will try to impeach Pres. Bush. There is a 100% chance that articles of impeachment will be filed. Hell, some already are.

2) There is a bigger chance that the Democrats will try to impeach V.P. Cheney.

3) Def. Secretary Rumsfield and his high level subordinates will spend most of the next two years testifying in front of Congress.

4) The Democrats will hold hearings over using Haliburton, ignoring the fact that it was the Clinton administration that began awarding it government contracts.

5) There will be hearings in Congress dealing with the CIA, in which the moles who have been leaking classified documents the last six years will testify about how awful things have been during the Bush Administration. The State Department will send their share before Congress also.


Maybe I am being unduly pessimistic. I hope I am. But history, and human nature, tells me otherwise.

3 comments:

Gahrie said...

It is 3:30 AM pacific time on Nov. 8, 2006.


And so it begins......

Anonymous said...

Oh what have we done? America I know the Republicans had gone soft, and been captured by Washington D.C. The Republicans deserved to lose the House. I get it. But the Senate too?
*******

Why do you ask a question the answer to which you know already? An answer which every rational repug secretly yeans for?

How else do you think the repugs machinery snout, firmly embedded in the Iraqi hole, is going to be forcibly removed and allowed to breath with the requisite humility that will guarantee an end to this war madness and continued tragedy in Iraq?

AmPowerBlog said...

Nice post! But I'll disagree with a couple of your points: South Korea's and Japan's nuclearization is to be welcomed. We can't provide the atomic umbrella forever, and Japan's been firmest in all this controversy over North Korean proliferation. Pakistan already is a military dictatorship. Who knows how Musharraf stays in power. His military and intelligence services are filled with clerical-fascist activists. U.S. military morale will not plummet. The troops will be supported by the Democrats and the American people, while the war itself will be a continuing target of criticism. We won't withdraw anytime soon, although the shift to a support and advisory role for indigenous Iraqi forces will speed up.

On immigration, you're right, but what else would we do with 12 million-plus illegals. While Americans support a tougher border enforcement regime, they'll seek to integrate those already here -- it's not fair to law abiding citizens, but that's pretty much where we are.

In Washington, there will be reform for a year or two, then the Dems will slink back into their old, corrupt ways. Honestly, both parties suffer from rot. As a Republican, I appreciate the chance for the party to get back to basic values of competence and trust. Conservative principles will remain on top in the American political system -- look what happened to affirmative action in Michagan! There'll be no impeachment, because Democrats don't want to overreach and blow their majority moment. Hard left liberals in the party will whine and continue attacks on Bush, but smart partisans will see 2006 as an opportunity to open up a big lead with swing voters, who will help them in their efforts to gain the White House in 2008.

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